Friday, July 17, 2020

Priorities of national issues

There are lots of national issues that need addressing, many of them urgently. But I got to thinking recently about priorities; what do I think are the very top priority national issues? After some days of pondering this, I have decided that the very top of the list, in my opinion, is dominated by two issues, the economy and national unity.

The economy is obvious. Only a healthy economy can support all the other important goals – social justice, climate change, better education, better health care, etc, etc, etc. A strong economy provides the tax base to support the things governments should do and the capital markets needed to support private business, which in the end (though progressives often seem blind to this) is the source of ALL the income in the nation. This issue has been exacerbated by the COVID shutdown, with all the attendant layoffs and business closings, and so is certainly at the top of the list right now.

The second issue, national unity, may not be so obvious. We are a very large country, spanning an entire continent. By some reckonings we are really 7 or 9 or 11 different nations, with different cultures, different histories, different values and expectations, etc. Certainly it is obvious that the urban coastal regions are sharply different than the rural mid-continent regions. And one can see differences even in the different attitudes toward COVID masks and stay-at-home orders between states.

The problem with any nation as large and diverse as ours is holding it together. We already fought a bloody four-year civil war once to hold the nation together, and the specter of dissolution always lurks at the edges. What holds a diverse nation together is some common understanding among all its inhabitants. That used to be patriotism, a common national pride in being founded on exceptional principles, which, even if we didn’t always achieve them, marked us as a people at least trying to live by high principles. But patriotism has fallen out of favor, at least with large segments of the population, and I don’t see any other unifying force emerging to takes its place as the glue that holds us together as a nation. In fact the opposite seems to be occurring. Political activists right and left are peddling divisive “identity politics” narratives that seek to set us against one another rather than to unify us.

It is even more complex than that. There has emerged a wealthy elite class in America that holds only a tenuous allegiance to the nation. These people think of themselves more as “citizens of the world”, a Davos crowd often with multiple passports and homes spread across the globe. There aren’t that many of them, and under normal circumstances it wouldn’t really matter that much, but they also control the media and the transnational corporations and much of the political machinery of the nation, so it does matter that they really have such a weak allegiance to the nation.

I have no idea how to address either of these issues, and clearly the Trump administration doesn’t either. Whether a Biden administration has any better ideas is not yet clear, and won’t be until/unless they are in power. Indeed, George Friedman in his most recent book predicts a “failed” presidency in 2024 or 2028, “failed” in the sense of a president trying to apply the old remedies to a new situation in which they don’t work (Herbert Hoover, with his failed laissez faire approach to dealing with the depression of the 1930s, was the last such “failed” presidency, in Friedman’s argument). I wouldn’t count Trump’s presidency as the “failed” presidency because, erratic and incompetent as he has been, he has actually followed more or less the current Republican orthodoxy with some limited success. Trump’s election is better seen, I think, as a message that all is not well in the country; that a significant fraction of the nation feels the political system no longer represents their interests, but instead has been captured by an urban elite that neither understand s nor really cares much about their problems. It is always worrisome when the peasants start shaking their pitchforks at the passing carriages of the nobility, and that is, in my opinion, what Trump’s election really was.

Whether a Biden presidency would be the “failed” presidency predicted by Friedman is not clear to me, because I really don’t yet know what his approach to these two issues will be, and I even suspect he doesn’t know yet.