Wednesday, December 31, 2014

Recommended: Nothing is True and Everything is Possible


I have mentioned before Angelo Codevilla’s persuasive argument that the central problem with all of the various schools of American foreign policy is that they all assume that other nations and other cultures think much as we do, have similar expectations and values, and will react as we would to threats and incentives. That is certainly clearly not true of Russia, which as Churchill once famously said “is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma”.

Peter Pomerantsev, who now lives in London, is of Russian extraction and spent a decade in Russia working as a writer and producer. His new book Nothing is True and Everything is Possible: The Surreal Heart of the New Russia, is a revealing look into Putin’s new Russia, part Tsarist empire, part Mafia gang, part surreal PR construct.  It is a well written book, almost lyrical in parts, but it is a very important book in light of Russia’s new aggressive stance in the world.

Russia, of course, is a wounded bear, perhaps even a mortally wounded bear. Its economy and its infrastructure are in shambles, massive corruption is endemic at all levels from the President himself to the lowest bureaucrat or policemen, and it faces a serious demographic decline with a rapidly aging population. President Putin or whomever replaces him will have to use extreme measures to maintain power amidst the decay and decline, and aggression toward the West will no doubt be a central feature for years or decades to come. Russia lacks the economic power to support a major war, but it is still quite capable of causing endless troubles along its own borders, and given its (historically understandable) paranoia about the West, will no doubt do so.

In the light of that, anything which helps us understand the differing world view of Russians is important, and that is why this book is important.