Friday, August 18, 2017

Did Russia hack the DNC email servers?

The US intelligence agencies, or at least the heads of most of the intelligence agencies (who knows what the analysts themselves think), are still convinced that Russia hacked the DNC (Democratic National Committee) servers and provided WikiLeaks with the embarrassing emails (widely reported in the liberal media), though independent experts think it was far more likely that it was an inside job (not widely reported in the liberal media), perhaps by then-DNC-chair Wasserman-Schultz’s favorite Pakistani IT expert, Imran Awan, now arrested and under indictment on multiple charges.

Should we believe the US intelligence agencies? The torrents of (largely illegal) leaks from the intelligence agencies to embarrass and harass President Trump certainly shows their political bias. And of course these are the same intelligence agencies that didn’t foresee the fall of the Soviet Union, didn’t foresee the Eastern European “color revolutions”, didn’t foresee the “Arab Spring” revolutions in the Middle East, didn’t foresee the rise of ISIS, didn’t foresee the Tet offensive in Vietnam, didn’t foresee the 1973 Yom Kippur attack on Israel, didn’t foresee the Iranian revolution, didn’t foresee the rise of Al Qaida or the 9/11 attacks, didn’t foresee the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, was sure Sadaam Hussain had weapons of mass destruction, were sure during the Kennedy campaign that the Soviet Union was ahead of the US in intercontinental missiles and that the Bay of Pigs invasion would bring a general uprising in Cuba, and didn’t foresee the Russian takeover of the Crimea, among many other failures.  Intelligence gathering and analysis is a difficult business, and some failures are to be expected, but it is notable how often these failures listed above resulted from the intelligence community telling the powers that be what they wanted to hear, or what the intelligence community wanted to believe.

And then of course there is the revelation that among the NSA’s (National Security Agency) own hacking tools that outside hackers stole from the NSA itself recently (another reason to wonder about the competence of our intelligence community) were a sophisticated set of tools for making NSA hacks look like they came from other places, like Russia. Presumably the Russians and the North Koreans and the French and probably even some US teenage hackers have similar tools, so any estimate of where a hack “came from” is now suspect.

We will probably never know the truth, but my own estimate at the moment is that this whole Russian hacking thing is a red herring. Liberals still can’t come to terms with having lost the election (and to a jerk like Trump at that!), and are still casting about for some explanation - any explanation - other than their own incompetence. And of course focusing on the Russians keeps people from focusing on the content of the leaked emails, which showed a pretty seamy picture of the inside machinations of the DNC and the Clinton campaign.