Wednesday, May 11, 2016

Recommended: Donald Trump will win in a landslide.

Scott Adams, the creator of the widely-read cartoon "Dilbert", isn't someone one would normally think of as a political prognosticator, but his piece today "Donald Trump will win in a landslide. The mind behind "Dilbert: explains why" is a brilliant piece, well worth reading and thinking about.

Adams isn't a Trump supporter, just an outside observer who thinks Trump is a master salesperson whose skill at appealing to the emotions of the voters will overwhelm Hillary Clinton's more traditional (and boring) campaigning style.  And he may well be right.  I see in today's news that the Donald is already rapidly closing the gap with Clinton in the polls, and he hasn't even yet really started his national campaign.

I have wondered all along how much of the Trump we have been seeing in the primaries is really him, and how much is a (very effective) act to dominate the news cycles and define his opponents. I am beginning to think he is not nearly as "off the cuff" as we have all been assuming, but instead that all of this is a well-planned, well-thought-out strategy. Several people who have gotten to know him pretty well have been saying that in private he is much different, much more thoughtful.

None of this guarantees that he would be a good president. On the other hand, masterful marketing and poker-playing  skills might serve us well in dealing with loose cannons like Putin or the expansionist Chinese government, or even the Middle East mess. If Scott Adams is right, we may well get a chance to test this theory.